Question 1

What player props does FullCountProps cover?

Accepted Answer

We cover six prop types: strikeouts (K), hits (H), total bases (TB), RBIs, walks (BB), and runs scored (R). Pitcher strikeout props are our strongest suit.

Question 2

How often do picks update?

Accepted Answer

Picks run twice daily during the MLB season: 10:30 AM ET (morning run with probable pitchers) and 4:30 PM ET (afternoon refresh with confirmed lineups, final umpire assignments, and real-time weather).

Question 3

What does edge % mean?

Accepted Answer

Edge is the difference between our simulated probability and the sportsbook no-vig implied probability for a prop. A +6.4% edge means our model believes this outcome happens 6.4 percentage points more often than the market price implies.

Question 4

What do I get for free?

Accepted Answer

Free users get the top 3 edges per day with direction and grade, daily slate overview, basic accuracy stats, and full methodology documentation.

Question 5

What is your accuracy track record?

Accepted Answer

In backtesting on the 2024 season (12,847 graded props), the model achieved 3.1% calibration error (ECE) and +8.7% ROI at the 4% edge threshold. When we predict 60% probability, actual hit rate was approximately 58-62%.

Question 6

Is FullCountProps open source?

Accepted Answer

Yes. The entire codebase — simulation engine, matchup model, data pipelines, and frontend — is available on GitHub at github.com/fullcountprops/fullcountprops.

Frequently Asked Questions

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