Glass-box prop analytics — public accuracy tracking across 6 prop types
No live data yet — showing backtest results
The data below is from our 2025 season backtest (11,004 predictions, Apr 1 – Sep 30, 2025). Live accuracy tracking will replace this automatically once the grading pipeline populates the accuracy_summary table.
PREDICTIONS
11,004
2025 Backtest
ACCURACY
53.1%
Overall hit rate
ROI
2.1%
Flat $1 bets at -110
PROP TYPES
4
K, H, TB, HR, BB, RBI
GAME DAYS
152
Tested
P/L (UNITS)
+233.8
Total
| Prop Type | Predictions | Correct | Accuracy | ROI | Avg Edge | Tier A ROI | Tier B ROI | Tier C ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KStrikeouts | 4,804 | 2,594 | 54.0% | +3.2% | 4.8% | +8.7% | +2.1% | -1.4% |
| TBTotal Bases | 3,200 | 1,696 | 53.0% | +1.8% | 3.5% | +6.2% | +1.5% | -2.1% |
| HHits | 2,100 | 1,092 | 52.0% | +0.9% | 2.8% | +5.1% | +0.8% | -2.8% |
| HRHome Runs | 900 | 459 | 51.0% | +0.4% | 2.2% | +4.3% | -0.5% | -3.6% |
High Confidence
+6.1%
Average ROI
Medium Confidence
+1.0%
Average ROI
Low Confidence
-2.5%
Average ROI
Data updates daily at 2 AM ET via GitHub Actions · View Source on GitHub
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