Why FullCountProps?
Glass-Box Analytics.
No Black Boxes.
Most MLB analytics platforms hide their methodology behind closed doors. FullCountProps shows you every factor, every weight, every simulation — so you can verify our edge before you bet on it.
Feature Comparison
How FullCountProps stacks up against the most popular MLB prop analytics platforms.
| Feature | FullCountProps $29/mo | BallparkPal $10/mo | EV Analytics $85/mo | Action Network $10/mo | FanGraphs $15/mo | Dimers $25/mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Monte Carlo Simulation | ||||||
| Transparent Methodology | ||||||
| Player Props with Edge % | ||||||
| Kelly Criterion Sizing | ||||||
| Best Bets with Confidence Grades | ||||||
| Public Accuracy Tracking | ||||||
| Backtest Results | ||||||
| Real-time Odds Comparison | ||||||
| Park Factor Adjustments | ||||||
| Free Tier Available |
Monte Carlo Simulation
Transparent Methodology
Player Props with Edge %
Kelly Criterion Sizing
Best Bets with Confidence Grades
Public Accuracy Tracking
Backtest Results
Real-time Odds Comparison
Park Factor Adjustments
Free Tier Available
What Makes Us Different
FullCountProps was built from day one around transparency, accuracy, and value.
Glass-Box Approach
Show the Math
Every projection includes a full SHAP-based breakdown of the factors that drove it — umpire tendencies, park effects, platoon splits, recent form. No hidden formulas. If we say a pitcher has a 62% chance of going over 5.5 K, you can see exactly why.
LightGBM + Monte Carlo
Simulation Engine
A LightGBM matchup model trained on 6M+ Statcast plate appearances produces per-PA outcome probabilities. Then 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game resolve full probability distributions — not point estimates — for every player stat.
Public Accuracy Dashboard
Backtest Validation
Our accuracy page shows every prediction we have ever made, graded against real results. Calibration curves, ROI by confidence tier, and full backtest data are available for anyone to verify — no cherry-picking, no hiding bad calls.
Aggressive Pricing
$29/mo vs $10–85/mo
Competitors charge $10 to $85 per month for less transparency and often fewer features. FullCountProps Pro starts at $29/mo — the most affordable option with full Monte Carlo distributions, Kelly sizing, SHAP explanations, and confidence grades included.
Ready to See the Full Picture?
Start with our free tier — 3 daily edges, full accuracy dashboard access, and complete methodology documentation. Upgrade anytime for $29/mo.